Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.031902 0.036865 0.042360 0.048896 0.056463 0.064954 0.075212
2026-02-01 0.023250 0.029528 0.037166 0.047156 0.059897 0.075634 0.096596
2026-02-08 0.018621 0.025411 0.034288 0.046770 0.063918 0.086721 0.119473
2026-02-15 0.015478 0.022397 0.031991 0.046306 0.067207 0.096742 0.141890
2026-02-22 0.013525 0.020584 0.030880 0.047052 0.071944 0.109022 0.168857
2026-03-01 0.011777 0.018741 0.029364 0.046828 0.074998 0.118977 0.193460
2026-03-08 0.010159 0.016829 0.027425 0.045575 0.076123 0.125885 0.213950
2026-03-15 0.008821 0.015164 0.025620 0.044222 0.076781 0.131945 0.233620
2026-03-22 0.008073 0.014368 0.025118 0.044940 0.080944 0.144259 0.265548
2026-03-29 0.007355 0.013525 0.024411 0.045170 0.084212 0.155315 0.296567
2026-04-05 0.006714 0.012732 0.023684 0.045244 0.087152 0.166048 0.328289
2026-04-12 0.006215 0.012137 0.023238 0.045766 0.090958 0.178787 0.365482
2026-04-19 0.005828 0.011720 0.023096 0.046896 0.096172 0.195043 0.412327
2026-04-26 0.005199 0.010748 0.021766 0.045491 0.096103 0.200771 0.438186
2026-05-03 0.004758 0.010105 0.021015 0.045172 0.098234 0.211252 0.475652
2026-05-10 0.004357 0.009495 0.020256 0.044735 0.100033 0.221211 0.513279
2026-05-17 0.004101 0.009165 0.020045 0.045457 0.104465 0.237429 0.567425
2026-05-24 0.003793 0.008684 0.019451 0.045241 0.106726 0.249018 0.612226
2026-05-31 0.003442 0.008065 0.018479 0.044032 0.106502 0.254818 0.643722
2026-06-07 0.003122 0.007478 0.017516 0.042725 0.105878 0.259571 0.673237
2026-06-14 0.002964 0.007260 0.017386 0.043419 0.110256 0.277027 0.737879
2026-06-21 0.002790 0.006983 0.017081 0.043641 0.113470 0.291967 0.797993
2026-06-28 0.002622 0.006700 0.016734 0.043713 0.116303 0.306282 0.858455